Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.014808 3.626350 4.311716 5.133975 6.090746 7.165891 8.462355
2025-05-11 2.111452 2.876692 3.827975 5.086069 6.693356 8.663987 11.247042
2025-05-18 1.507231 2.290435 3.355133 4.883555 6.991897 9.764086 13.644085
2025-05-25 1.100287 1.846258 2.944807 4.639213 7.135435 10.616508 15.760328
2025-06-01 0.871045 1.595981 2.741025 4.619543 7.545000 11.828950 18.446869
2025-06-08 0.712264 1.415169 2.598474 4.649944 8.004891 13.130871 21.357773
2025-06-15 0.582827 1.251578 2.447522 4.630603 8.365275 14.296163 24.147862
2025-06-22 0.452632 1.053725 2.197481 4.397072 8.332997 14.826255 25.980580
2025-06-29 0.375834 0.941352 2.078911 4.369701 8.632689 15.900548 28.749344
2025-07-06 0.313585 0.843735 1.969080 4.337221 8.910352 16.950410 31.548368
2025-07-13 0.290304 0.828021 2.020037 4.618069 9.783942 19.087392 36.333066
2025-07-20 0.259076 0.785605 2.006673 4.765884 10.418231 20.848900 40.591683
2025-07-27 0.236282 0.760479 2.030176 4.999869 11.257359 23.072052 45.874329
2025-08-03 0.200114 0.690312 1.938635 4.975258 11.580716 24.376369 49.613625
2025-08-10 0.161287 0.600788 1.783090 4.783921 11.537883 24.982545 52.114270
2025-08-17 0.127687 0.515490 1.619615 4.546341 11.364523 25.312871 54.110664
2025-08-24 0.108808 0.470884 1.552871 4.527819 11.660685 26.586809 57.987875
2025-08-31 0.094503 0.437081 1.508739 4.557963 12.066800 28.110922 62.450681
2025-09-07 0.080817 0.400590 1.449222 4.539050 12.356300 29.413431 66.556178
2025-09-14 0.063897 0.344542 1.318450 4.309619 12.121608 29.589875 68.397159
2025-09-21 0.054495 0.315503 1.265024 4.282737 12.371382 30.821356 72.477503
2025-09-28 0.046412 0.288738 1.212844 4.250829 12.603978 32.030252 76.584446
2025-10-05 0.044780 0.291912 1.263380 4.526782 13.645942 35.114772 84.841936